NCAA Tournament March Madness

#159 Arkansas St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Arkansas State’s résumé reads like a team whose clearest path to the NCAA field is winning the Sun Belt tournament because the season pairs a few resume-building road victories at Ohio, Arkansas Little Rock and Southern Miss with several damaging setbacks, most notably road blowouts at St. Mary’s and SMU and harmful defeats at Rice, Georgia State and Old Dominion that leave little margin for error. The offense has shown it can score in hostile environments, but the defensive lapses that produced those bad losses undermine the profile and leave the committee wanting a signature neutral or road win that simply isn’t there from the nonconference slate. The remaining conference schedule hands the Red Wolves a string of winnable home dates and two important road tests at Coastal Carolina and Louisiana where they can repair the resume, yet unless Arkansas State can replicate its best road performances and avoid more ugly results the most reliable route into the field is to capture the conference crown.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Ohio235W89-85
11/7@SF Austin99L90-65
11/11@Missouri St195W86-85
11/19@St Mary's CA36L85-72
11/21@SMU37L100-69
11/24Jacksonville St197W74-63
11/28N Dakota St120W85-80
12/2UT Arlington143W83-63
12/6@Ark Little Rock291W90-78
12/13@Rice237L77-76
12/17@Texas St282W89-70
12/20@Southern Miss250W93-86
1/3James Madison229L78-74
1/7Troy113W86-74
1/10Texas St282W83-82
1/15@South Alabama206L91-87
1/17@Troy113L99-74
1/22@Ga Southern245W85-68
1/24@Georgia St270L82-81
1/28Old Dominion225L75-71
1/31Marshall17764%
2/4@Coastal Car23454%
2/7Bowling Green12853%
2/11ULM36096%
2/14South Alabama20670%
2/19@Louisiana33176%
2/21@ULM36088%
2/24Southern Miss25077%
2/27Louisiana33190%