NCAA Tournament March Madness

#168 FGCU

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

FGCU’s profile is built on a handful of eye-opening wins and a few damaging setbacks that together create a clear narrative. Their best moments — a gritty road victory at Samford and home wins over Rice and Oral Roberts — show an offense that can carry them, but a lopsided defeat at Illinois and an unexpected home loss to Georgia Southern expose defensive holes and undermine their consistency. A road setback at Florida International and a tight loss to Kennesaw reinforce those concerns, while the remainder of the schedule offers a mix of manageable conference dates to rebuild momentum and tough road tests at New Mexico and UCF that would go a long way toward answering questions about their ability to win away from home. The balance between those quality wins, the damage from poor results, and the concrete opportunities still available explains why they sit where they do.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/7@Illinois17L113-70
11/11Ga Southern224L95-94
11/15Chattanooga207W91-73
11/19@Samford239W77-62
11/24Oral Roberts305W93-88
11/25Rice217W78-63
11/26Kennesaw169L102-100
12/3@Florida Intl206L89-83
12/7FL Atlantic11747%
12/14@New Mexico11023%
12/20@UCF5811%
1/1@Cent Arkansas25054%
1/3@North Alabama21848%
1/8Austin Peay18063%
1/10Lipscomb15859%
1/15Queens NC18965%
1/17West Georgia28279%
1/22@Austin Peay18041%
1/24@Lipscomb15837%
1/29North Alabama21870%
1/31@Jacksonville27258%
2/5@E Kentucky26857%
2/7@Bellarmine28360%
2/11North Florida33488%
2/14Stetson34189%
2/19Jacksonville27278%
2/21Cent Arkansas25075%
2/26@North Florida33473%
2/28@Stetson34175%