NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Manhattan

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#304 Manhattan

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Manhattan’s profile is defined by a handful of modest but legitimate victories, notably neutral-site wins over Utah Tech and Mississippi Valley State and a home triumph over Fairfield, set against a handful of damaging outings on the road such as trips to USC, Hawaii, and Texas A&M where the team looked overmatched, and tight defeats like the one at home to Wagner and the loss at Army that show it can compete but struggles to close the deal. The team’s offense has flashed enough to win the games it should, yet its defense has been a recurring liability on hostile floors, which helps explain why road results carry so much weight for its resume. The remainder of the schedule offers clear avenues to improve the resume with games at Marist and at Fordham and a slate of key conference matchups at home and away against the likes of Quinnipiac, Iona, Rider, and St Peter’s, so its fate will hinge on whether it can pick up a couple of signature wins away from home and avoid any more damaging losses.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/9	@USC	28	L114-83
11/12	(N)Utah Tech	241	W79-75
11/14	@Hawaii	101	L86-56
11/15	(N)MS Valley St	365	W80-73
11/21	@Texas A&M	45	L109-68
11/26	Wagner	314	L103-101
11/29	@Army	348	L81-78
12/5	Fairfield	293	W70-66
12/7	@Marist	152	15%
12/13	@Fordham	221	24%
12/18	Furman	155	33%
12/21	Presbyterian	261	52%
12/29	@Rider	340	50%
1/2	Quinnipiac	148	30%
1/4	@Merrimack	285	34%
1/9	Canisius	352	77%
1/11	Niagara	347	73%
1/14	@Fairfield	293	35%
1/17	Siena	150	32%
1/19	@Quinnipiac	148	14%
1/24	@Iona	184	19%
1/30	Rider	340	71%
2/1	@Mt St Mary's	308	39%
2/5	St Peter's	330	67%
2/7	Sacred Heart	275	53%
2/13	@Niagara	347	52%
2/15	@Canisius	352	57%
2/20	Marist	152	32%
2/27	@St Peter's	330	46%
3/1	Iona	184	38%