NCAA Tournament March Madness

#230 PFW

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

PFW’s résumé hinges on a signature road victory at Notre Dame and a string of road wins at Robert Morris and Youngstown State, but those bright spots are dulled by damaging road defeats at St. Louis, Ohio State, Grand Canyon and Utah and by blowout losses that shift the narrative against them, including the trip to Wisconsin Milwaukee. Home wins over Northern Kentucky, Eastern Michigan and Chicago State show they can finish against middling opposition yet they do little to replace the absence of marquee victories. Most of the remaining chances to change the picture arrive in conference play with trips to Wright State, Green Bay and Northern Kentucky and home dates against Robert Morris, Wright State and IUPUI, so the window to impress is narrow and concentrated. Given the mix of a lone eye‑catching nonconference road result, several ugly setbacks and few remaining opportunities against high-caliber foes, the clearest path to the NCAA field is to win the Horizon tournament.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Grand Canyon75L90-71
11/7@Ohio St40L94-68
11/12@W Michigan266L83-71
11/18@Utah114L85-77
11/21@St Louis25L91-60
11/25Chicago St358W90-77
12/3@Oakland121L101-92
12/6N Kentucky170W79-77
12/10E Michigan223W80-65
12/14Detroit284W81-77
12/21@Notre Dame79W72-69
12/29@WI Milwaukee246L77-55
1/1WI Green Bay226L72-54
1/4Cleveland St321W74-71
1/7@Youngstown St220W71-69
1/11@Robert Morris193W79-74
1/18WI Milwaukee246W100-82
1/21@Detroit284W83-76
1/28Oakland121L74-65
1/31Robert Morris19354%
2/4Youngstown St22059%
2/7@Wright St14223%
2/12@WI Green Bay22638%
2/15IUPUI32581%
2/18@N Kentucky17028%
2/22@Cleveland St32161%
2/25Wright St14243%