NCAA Tournament March Madness

#99 SF Austin

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Projection: likely out

SF Austin looks like it will fall short of the tournament because its résumé is built mostly on wins over weak opposition while the few moments that mattered have either been narrow setbacks or came against middling foes. The high points—a decisive home victory over Arkansas State, a gritty road win at Pepperdine and a strong showing at New Orleans—prove the team can win away from home, but those are offset by damaging road losses at Fresno State, at UT Arlington and at McNeese State that leave lingering questions about how the Lumberjacks fare against stronger opponents. The conference slate has been dominated but lacks marquee neutral-site wins, and the remaining stretch—headlined by a home date with SE Louisiana, a rematch with McNeese State and road tests at UTRGV and Incarnate Word—offers clear opportunities to flip the narrative; until those opportunities turn into signature victories the profile will read like a team that controlled a weak league without enough quality wins to push onto the bubble.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/7Arkansas St159W90-65
11/11@Rice237W81-69
11/14Abilene Chr253W76-66
11/18@Fresno St138L80-78
11/21@Pepperdine273W63-60
11/29@UT Arlington143L66-61
12/3UTRGV174W73-60
12/7ULM360W96-76
12/17TAM C. Christi185W69-60
12/29@East Texas A&M295W75-48
12/31@Northwestern LA271W74-64
1/3@SE Louisiana259W73-63
1/5@McNeese St68L66-64
1/10Houston Chr306W85-67
1/12Incarnate Word248W56-46
1/17@New Orleans202W84-79
1/19@Nicholls St247W79-62
1/24@Lamar207W88-81
1/27Northwestern LA271W69-67
1/31SE Louisiana25990%
2/2McNeese St6848%
2/7Lamar20784%
2/9East Texas A&M29593%
2/14@UTRGV17460%
2/16@TAM C. Christi18562%
2/21Nicholls St24788%
2/23New Orleans20283%
2/28@Houston Chr30683%
3/2@Incarnate Word24873%