NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: UMBC

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#259 UMBC

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

UMBC’s body of work combines a couple of gritty wins, like the road victory at Morgan State and narrow home decisions over Wagner and Delaware State, with several damaging road defeats at Dayton, Georgetown and a lopsided loss at George Washington. The nonconference slate has offered little in the way of a signature neutral-site victory and the remaining chances against Bucknell, Buffalo and a trip to South Florida are the clearest opportunities to change that perception. In America East play most of the opportunities come against familiar opponents and while wins at Vermont, Bryant or on the road at MA Lowell and NJIT can build a record, they do not substitute for the kind of true road or neutral success committees prize. Given the quality of the losses and the thinness of the best wins, UMBC’s resume needs a convincing upset away from home or a strong run through the league to alter how it looks on Selection Sunday.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/8	@Dayton	61	L77-71
11/11	@Morgan St	361	W81-79
11/16	Wagner	314	W71-70
11/19	@G Washington	65	L89-52
11/29	Delaware St	362	W71-57
12/3	@Georgetown	88	L90-81
12/6	@Bucknell	315	51%
12/9	Buffalo	208	51%
12/12	Army	348	81%
12/21	@South Florida	79	8%
12/29	@Coppin St	364	78%
1/8	Maine	325	74%
1/10	New Hampshire	346	80%
1/15	@Bryant	312	50%
1/19	@Binghamton	349	64%
1/22	NJIT	350	82%
1/24	MA Lowell	310	70%
1/29	@Vermont	209	30%
1/31	@SUNY Albany	316	51%
2/5	Binghamton	349	82%
2/12	@Maine	325	53%
2/14	@New Hampshire	346	61%
2/19	Vermont	209	52%
2/21	SUNY Albany	316	72%
2/26	Bryant	312	71%
2/28	@MA Lowell	310	49%
3/3	@NJIT	350	64%