NCAA Tournament March Madness

#23 Virginia

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Projected seed: 5

Virginia’s resume is built around a road victory at Texas and a neutral-court win over Northwestern, but it carries a clear blemish in the neutral loss to Butler and lacks a signature triumph over an elite opponent. Those solid out-of-town results show the Cavaliers can win away from Charlottesville while the Butler setback underlines inconsistency in high-leverage neutral settings. With meaningful chances still on the docket — a neutral test with Dayton, home dates with Maryland and North Carolina, road trips to Louisville, NC State and SMU, a neutral meeting with Ohio State and a visit to Duke — Virginia can add the kind of road and neutral victories committees prize and erase that damaging result. The mix of respectable midlevel wins, a conspicuous loss, and a remaining schedule that offers multiple opportunities for marquee wins explains why the team currently sits where it does in the bracket conversation.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Rider340W87-53
11/7NC Central344W81-62
11/11Hampton216W91-53
11/15Marshall170W104-78
11/21(N)Northwestern56W83-78
11/23(N)Butler41L80-73
11/28Queens NC189W94-69
12/3@Texas55W88-69
12/6(N)Dayton6267%
12/9MD E Shore338100%
12/20Maryland9085%
12/22American Univ23498%
12/31@Virginia Tech7261%
1/3@NC State3444%
1/7California7079%
1/10Stanford8083%
1/13@Louisville1428%
1/17@SMU4249%
1/24North Carolina2662%
1/27@Notre Dame6357%
1/31@Boston College12478%
2/3Pittsburgh9486%
2/7Syracuse6578%
2/10@Florida St9370%
2/14(N)Ohio St3656%
2/18@Georgia Tech13880%
2/21Miami FL3867%
2/24NC State3466%
2/28@Duke418%
3/3Wake Forest5475%
3/7Virginia Tech7280%