NCAA Tournament March Madness
#16 Virginia
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Projected seed: 4
Virginia's bracket placement is earned because its resume pairs signature road and neutral victories with a stout defensive identity that has carried the team through a rugged conference slate. Road wins at Texas, Louisville, SMU and NC State and a neutral win over Northwestern show it can win away from Charlottesville, while the neutral loss to Butler and the home defeat to North Carolina and the road setback at Virginia Tech are blemishes that temper the resume. The defense and the offensive outburst at Notre Dame give the committee confidence that the strong results are legitimate, and the remaining conference schedule, which includes visits to Florida State and Duke and a neutral test against Ohio State, offers clear chances to erase bad results and solidify the team's standing. With quality nonconference victories and consistent success away from home, the projection reflects a team that belongs comfortably on the favorable side of the bracket while still having meaningful work left to do.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | Rider | 355 | W87-53 |
| 11/7 | NC Central | 347 | W81-62 |
| 11/11 | Hampton | 243 | W91-53 |
| 11/15 | Marshall | 177 | W104-78 |
| 11/21 | (N)Northwestern | 62 | W83-78 |
| 11/23 | (N)Butler | 60 | L80-73 |
| 11/28 | Queens NC | 188 | W94-69 |
| 12/3 | @Texas | 35 | W88-69 |
| 12/6 | (N)Dayton | 85 | W86-73 |
| 12/9 | MD E Shore | 326 | W84-60 |
| 12/20 | Maryland | 122 | W80-72 |
| 12/22 | American Univ | 221 | W95-51 |
| 12/31 | @Virginia Tech | 55 | L95-85 |
| 1/3 | @NC State | 24 | W76-61 |
| 1/7 | California | 66 | W84-60 |
| 1/10 | Stanford | 81 | W70-55 |
| 1/13 | @Louisville | 19 | W79-70 |
| 1/17 | @SMU | 37 | W72-68 |
| 1/24 | North Carolina | 28 | L85-80 |
| 1/27 | @Notre Dame | 79 | W100-97 |
| 1/31 | @Boston College | 145 | 89% |
| 2/3 | Pittsburgh | 100 | 92% |
| 2/7 | Syracuse | 77 | 89% |
| 2/10 | @Florida St | 101 | 81% |
| 2/14 | (N)Ohio St | 40 | 67% |
| 2/18 | @Georgia Tech | 129 | 86% |
| 2/21 | Miami FL | 38 | 75% |
| 2/24 | NC State | 24 | 69% |
| 2/28 | @Duke | 3 | 19% |
| 3/3 | Wake Forest | 74 | 88% |
| 3/7 | Virginia Tech | 55 | 85% |