NCAA Tournament March Madness

#203 Weber St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Weber State’s most realistic avenue to the NCAA field is winning the Big Sky tournament because its nonconference body of work shows it can compete on the road at Utah, Utah State and UC Irvine yet lacks a marquee victory that would sell an at-large case. The resume is weakened by ugly losses at St Thomas and at Montana and by damaging home setbacks to Utah Tech and Portland State that selection committees notice. There are encouraging signs—the team has decisive wins over Missouri Kansas City and Oral Roberts and has picked up true road victories in conference—that prove it can close games away from home when it’s right. Remaining conference dates at CS Sacramento, Idaho, Eastern Washington and Portland State along with home opportunities against Northern Arizona, Northern Colorado and Idaho State and a rematch with Montana State provide clear chances to change the narrative, but until Weber State turns those into signature road or neutral-site results the automatic bid is the safest expectation.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8@Utah114L92-89
11/12@Utah St30L83-73
11/15@UC Irvine118L79-70
11/19Campbell205W91-85
11/22UT Arlington143L74-73
11/29Missouri KC351W82-61
12/3Oral Roberts330W92-66
12/7@St Thomas MN127L88-65
12/10@Missouri KC351W64-60
12/17@Utah Valley106L90-74
12/20Utah Tech215L82-80
1/1Portland St153L95-90
1/3CS Sacramento285W95-82
1/8@Northern Arizona316W78-65
1/10@N Colorado187W76-71
1/15E Washington233W91-80
1/17Idaho190L75-67
1/22@Montana151L81-65
1/24@Montana St148L91-88
1/31Idaho St21362%
2/2@CS Sacramento28556%
2/5N Colorado18758%
2/7Northern Arizona31682%
2/12@Idaho19036%
2/14@E Washington23344%
2/19Montana St14849%
2/21Montana15149%
2/28@Idaho St21340%
3/2@Portland St15329%