NCAA Tournament March Madness
#69 Colorado St
Bubble Watch | Bracketology
Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?
Projection: likely out
Colorado State’s résumé has clear highs and clear holes: notable neutral-court wins over Wichita State and South Florida and a genuine road victory at Loyola Chicago show the offense can carry the team in hostile settings, but a surprising home loss to Denver and a narrow defeat on the road at Virginia Tech are the kind of blemishes that selection committees remember. Nonconference blowouts over lesser opponents bolster scoring numbers but do little to erase the uneven defensive performances that have shown up at times, and the remaining slate offers a straightforward way to change the picture. A home date with Colorado is an obvious chance for a signature win, while road trips to Utah State and San Diego State represent the sort of road tests that would validate the résumé; the rest of the conference schedule against the likes of Nevada, New Mexico, Fresno State, Boise State, UNLV, Wyoming, San Jose State and Air Force provides opportunities to both build a body of work and to damage it if inconsistency persists. Overall the profile is built on a few strong moments and an offense that can carry the team, but until Colorado State proves it can win the league’s toughest road tests and shore up sketchy defensive stretches its margin for error will be thin.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | Incarnate Word | 176 | W98-64 |
| 11/9 | NE Omaha | 264 | W97-74 |
| 11/12 | Cal Poly | 223 | W93-79 |
| 11/16 | @Loyola-Chicago | 288 | W80-67 |
| 11/21 | Denver | 281 | L83-81 |
| 11/26 | (N)Virginia Tech | 72 | L66-64 |
| 11/27 | (N)Wichita St | 98 | W76-70 |
| 11/28 | (N)South Florida | 79 | W83-68 |
| 12/6 | Colorado | 68 | 61% |
| 12/9 | Dartmouth | 277 | 95% |
| 12/20 | @Utah St | 43 | 30% |
| 12/30 | Nevada | 99 | 73% |
| 1/3 | @Grand Canyon | 102 | 53% |
| 1/6 | New Mexico | 110 | 76% |
| 1/9 | UNLV | 139 | 83% |
| 1/13 | @Fresno St | 160 | 71% |
| 1/16 | @Boise St | 61 | 37% |
| 1/20 | Air Force | 331 | 98% |
| 1/23 | Utah St | 43 | 52% |
| 1/28 | @San Diego St | 47 | 32% |
| 1/31 | @Wyoming | 107 | 55% |
| 2/7 | San Jose St | 186 | 90% |
| 2/10 | @Air Force | 331 | 93% |
| 2/14 | Wyoming | 107 | 75% |
| 2/18 | @UNLV | 139 | 65% |
| 2/21 | San Diego St | 47 | 53% |
| 2/24 | Fresno St | 160 | 87% |
| 2/28 | @San Jose St | 186 | 76% |
| 3/4 | @New Mexico | 110 | 55% |
| 3/7 | Boise St | 61 | 59% |