NCAA Tournament March Madness

#139 UNLV

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

UNLV has flashed enough to be dangerous but its résumé is undermined by inexplicable home losses to mid-major opponents and a string of lopsided neutral-site defeats against high-majors. The road win at Memphis and comfortable victories over Chattanooga and St. Joseph's are the sort of signature moments the committee looks for yet they are offset by damaging setbacks to Tennessee Martin and Montana and by blowouts at neutral sites against Maryland, Alabama and Rutgers. The Mountain West slate still offers chances to rebuild with meaningful wins in hostile places including trips to Stanford, Utah State, Boise State and San Diego State while home dates with Fresno State, New Mexico and Nevada present calmer chances to collect résumé builders. Until those opportunities are seized the safest path to the NCAA field runs through the conference tournament because the body of work as it stands lacks sustained quality and enough road or neutral signature wins to comfortably earn an at-large nod.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4TN Martin227L86-81
11/8Chattanooga207W101-69
11/11Montana195L102-93
11/16@Memphis74W92-78
11/20St Joseph's PA181W99-85
11/24(N)Maryland90L74-67
11/25(N)Alabama13L115-76
11/27(N)Rutgers128L80-65
12/7@Stanford8022%
12/13Tennessee St24581%
12/20Fresno St16068%
1/3Air Force33191%
1/6@Wyoming10730%
1/9@Colorado St6717%
1/13Boise St6233%
1/17@San Jose St18651%
1/20@Utah St4312%
1/24San Diego St4729%
1/27New Mexico11051%
1/30@Nevada10027%
2/3@Fresno St16046%
2/7Grand Canyon10350%
2/10San Jose St18672%
2/13@Boise St6216%
2/18Colorado St6735%
2/21@Air Force33179%
2/25@Grand Canyon10328%
2/28Nevada10048%
3/3Utah St4327%
3/6@San Diego St4713%