NCAA Tournament March Madness

#158 Fresno St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Fresno State’s résumé reads like a team with quality flashes and self-inflicted wounds: eye-catching nonconference victories, including a comfortable win over Long Beach State and a clear neutral-site victory over Pepperdine, show the ceiling, and gritty late finishes against Utah Valley and SF Austin demonstrate toughness, but narrow losses to SC Upstate and UC San Diego along with the setback against Cal State Bakersfield have left the profile blemished. The committee will value road and neutral success, and right now the résumé lacks signature wins away from home against established opponents, so the upcoming slate matters greatly. Trips to San Diego State and Utah State and high-visibility home opportunities against the likes of Nevada and Boise State are the clearest paths to repair the damage; knocking off a recognized conference power on the road or splitting tough road tests would convert the team’s flashes into a resume that looks consistent rather than spotty.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/5SC Upstate280L67-66
11/8Long Beach St270W82-62
11/12UC San Diego97L78-73
11/15Utah Valley80W75-74
11/18SF Austin146W80-78
11/21New Orleans192W85-76
11/26(N)Pepperdine285W76-53
11/30CS Bakersfield289L76-71
12/6@Arkansas306%
12/10@CS Northridge24054%
12/20@UNLV13932%
12/30Utah St4322%
1/3Nevada9841%
1/6@San Jose St18644%
1/10@San Diego St479%
1/13Colorado St6929%
1/17Wyoming10744%
1/21@New Mexico11024%
1/24Grand Canyon10243%
1/31@Air Force33073%
2/3UNLV13954%
2/7@Nevada9821%
2/10@Utah St439%
2/14Air Force33088%
2/17@Wyoming10724%
2/21New Mexico11044%
2/24@Colorado St6913%
2/28Boise St6027%
3/3San Jose St18666%
3/7@Grand Canyon10223%