NCAA Tournament March Madness
#251 Missouri St
Bubble Watch | Bracketology
Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?
Projection: need to automatically qualify
Missouri State looks headed toward needing the conference automatic bid because its résumé lacks signature victories and is marred by damaging setbacks. The season’s best moment was the hard-fought win over UTRGV, but the profile is undermined by a razor-thin defeat to Arkansas State, a humbling road loss at UT Arlington and an underwhelming result against LIU Brooklyn. Road results have been a recurring weakness and upcoming trips to Tulsa and Xavier are the kind of true tests the committee prizes, while home dates with Oral Roberts and Lindenwood and conference matchups with UTEP, New Mexico State and Louisiana Tech represent limited chances to rebuild the résumé. Until Missouri State can string together road or neutral wins over recognized opponents, the committee will view the team as one that needs the automatic qualifier.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Arkansas St | 150 | L86-85 |
| 11/15 | @UT Arlington | 183 | L67-49 |
| 11/22 | UTRGV | 200 | W74-67 |
| 11/24 | LIU Brooklyn | 233 | L75-61 |
| 12/6 | @Tulsa | 86 | 9% |
| 12/12 | @Xavier | 82 | 8% |
| 12/16 | Oral Roberts | 306 | 71% |
| 12/23 | Lindenwood | 252 | 61% |
| 12/29 | @Delaware | 272 | 42% |
| 1/2 | UTEP | 239 | 59% |
| 1/4 | New Mexico St | 120 | 32% |
| 1/7 | @Kennesaw | 170 | 25% |
| 1/10 | Florida Intl | 206 | 53% |
| 1/14 | @WKU | 126 | 16% |
| 1/17 | @MTSU | 140 | 19% |
| 1/22 | @New Mexico St | 120 | 15% |
| 1/24 | @UTEP | 239 | 37% |
| 1/28 | Sam Houston St | 127 | 34% |
| 1/31 | Jacksonville St | 235 | 58% |
| 2/7 | @Liberty | 103 | 12% |
| 2/12 | Louisiana Tech | 194 | 50% |
| 2/14 | Delaware | 272 | 64% |
| 2/18 | Kennesaw | 170 | 46% |
| 2/21 | @Florida Intl | 206 | 31% |
| 2/26 | @Louisiana Tech | 194 | 29% |
| 2/28 | @Sam Houston St | 127 | 16% |
| 3/5 | WKU | 126 | 33% |
| 3/7 | MTSU | 140 | 37% |