NCAA Tournament March Madness

#195 Missouri St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Missouri State’s résumé is a patchwork of eye‑catching road wins at New Mexico State and UTEP and an unimpressive string of bad losses at home and on the road, so the clearest way for them to reach the NCAA field is by securing the conference’s automatic berth. Their best moments show they can win away from home, but damaging setbacks at Tulsa, Xavier and Kennesaw and surprising home defeats to Arkansas State and LIU Brooklyn leave little margin for error when the selection committee evaluates the resume. The remaining schedule includes tough road trips to Liberty and Sam Houston State along with home dates against league leaders such as WKU and MTSU, so opportunities to add marquee neutral or big road wins are limited. Given the uneven profile, the logic that they must lock up the automatic spot rather than hope for an at‑large nod is clear.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/11Arkansas St159L86-85
11/15@UT Arlington143L67-49
11/22UTRGV174W74-67
11/24LIU Brooklyn219L75-61
12/6@Tulsa57L98-74
12/12@Xavier89L75-57
12/16Oral Roberts330W63-62
12/23Lindenwood242W70-65
12/29@Delaware281W61-43
1/2UTEP288W79-55
1/4New Mexico St158W89-82
1/7@Kennesaw165L90-80
1/10Florida Intl191W79-71
1/14@WKU176L87-72
1/17@MTSU147L90-87
1/22@New Mexico St158W84-75
1/24@UTEP288W62-57
1/28Sam Houston St104L80-71
1/31Jacksonville St19761%
2/7@Liberty9216%
2/12Louisiana Tech23267%
2/14Delaware28177%
2/18Kennesaw16554%
2/21@Florida Intl19138%
2/26@Louisiana Tech23245%
2/28@Sam Houston St10419%
3/5WKU17656%
3/7MTSU14750%