NCAA Tournament March Madness

#239 Tennessee St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Tennessee State’s résumé is built on a handful of legitimate road victories, most notably at UNLV and Arkansas Little Rock, that demonstrate it can win away from home, but those positives are offset by damaging results such as the heavy defeat at Tennessee and rough losses at Belmont and Alabama A&M that undercut its case. The schedule has delivered some solid wins without a true marquee neutral-site statement, so the good wins provide credibility while the bad losses create clear doubt for the committee. With conference play still to be decided and a mix of winnable league games plus a few tougher road tests remaining, the cleanest path to the NCAA field runs through the automatic berth. Committees reward road success and punish blowouts to major opponents, which explains why Tennessee State presently sits outside the safe group and needs the conference title to secure a spot.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8@Belmont67L87-79
11/16@WKU176L95-82
11/20@Tennessee21L89-60
11/25@UNC Asheville218W75-73
11/30@Chattanooga267W70-64
12/3@Alabama A&M294L80-53
12/13@UNLV134W63-60
12/18TN Martin211W78-71
12/20SE Missouri St251L91-82
12/30@Tennessee Tech335W88-76
1/3@Ark Little Rock291W84-79
1/8@W Illinois357W90-68
1/10@E Illinois309L74-70
1/15Morehead St299W105-100
1/17Southern Indiana324W73-67
1/22@SIUE258L74-66
1/24@Lindenwood242W96-86
1/27Tennessee Tech33582%
1/29Ark Little Rock29172%
2/5E Illinois30976%
2/7W Illinois35791%
2/12@Southern Indiana32461%
2/14@Morehead St29954%
2/19Lindenwood24262%
2/21SIUE25866%
2/26@SE Missouri St25142%
2/28@TN Martin21134%