NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: UC San Diego

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#97 UC San Diego

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: likely out

UC San Diego’s resume features some eye-catching moments — a road win at Fresno State and convincing neutral-site victories over Temple, Bradley and Towson — but the profile is held back by an ugly loss at Nevada and a scarcity of true road statement wins beyond that trip. Those neutral wins keep the narrative from collapsing, yet the committee will focus on the fact that most of the quality results came off neutral courts or at home and that the team has not beaten a high-end opponent away from its own gym. The remaining slate gives clear chances to alter that perception with road tests at Long Beach State, UC Davis and UC Santa Barbara and important home games against the likes of UC Irvine and Cal State Fullerton, so finishing strong on the road and in conference play is the most direct way to change how the profile is viewed.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/8	Houston Chr	292	W78-60
11/12	@Fresno St	158	W78-73
11/15	Idaho	209	W75-67
11/24	(N)Temple	159	W91-76
11/25	(N)Bradley	128	W87-77
11/26	(N)Towson	131	W87-73
12/2	@Nevada	98	L76-70
12/6	@Long Beach St	270	77%
12/13	(N)Tulane	175	73%
12/14	(N)Tulane	175	73%
12/16	@Loy Marymount	143	53%
12/19	San Diego	269	90%
1/1	@Cal Poly	224	71%
1/3	Hawaii	99	62%
1/8	CS Fullerton	286	92%
1/10	@UC Riverside	267	77%
1/15	CS Northridge	240	88%
1/17	@CS Bakersfield	289	80%
1/22	@UC Davis	164	60%
1/24	UC Irvine	125	70%
1/29	UC Santa Barbara	147	76%
1/31	@CS Northridge	240	73%
2/5	Long Beach St	270	91%
2/7	@Hawaii	99	39%
2/8	@Hawaii	99	39%
2/12	UC Davis	164	80%
2/14	UC Riverside	267	90%
2/21	@UC Irvine	125	48%
2/26	CS Bakersfield	289	92%
2/28	Cal Poly	224	87%
3/5	@CS Fullerton	286	80%
3/7	@UC Santa Barbara	147	55%