NCAA Tournament March Madness
#101 Hawaii
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Projection: likely out
Hawaii’s profile reads like a team that can dominate the teams it should beat yet still lacks the signature victory to quiet skeptics, with the program’s best moment coming in a gritty road performance at Oregon that showed it can compete away from home and its worst nonconference mark being the loss at Arizona State that left no marquee scalp on the résumé. Most of the wins on the ledger come against lower-tier opponents and those results protect the team’s overall body of work but do little to move the needle in a selection room that prizes neutral-site and true road victories against strong opponents. What matters now are the remaining opportunities away from the friendly confines of home: trips to UC San Diego, UC Irvine, UC Santa Barbara and UC Davis present the kind of wins that would change the narrative, while home dates against conference rivals mostly function as maintenance to avoid damaging slips. Put simply, the team has shown it can win regularly within its orbit and can hang with a power-conference opponent, but until it collects a notable road or neutral victory over a respected opponent the résumé won’t have the quality signature that committees look for.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/4 | @Oregon | 83 | L60-59 |
| 11/9 | East Texas A&M | 299 | W100-74 |
| 11/12 | MS Valley St | 365 | W88-56 |
| 11/14 | Manhattan | 304 | W86-56 |
| 11/15 | Utah Tech | 241 | W68-62 |
| 11/20 | Arizona St | 82 | L83-76 |
| 11/28 | North Dakota | 336 | W92-55 |
| 12/4 | UC Davis | 166 | W75-69 |
| 12/6 | CS Fullerton | 287 | 92% |
| 12/7 | CS Fullerton | 287 | 92% |
| 12/13 | UTEP | 238 | 88% |
| 12/14 | UTEP | 238 | 88% |
| 1/1 | @UC Riverside | 267 | 76% |
| 1/3 | @UC San Diego | 97 | 38% |
| 1/10 | UC Irvine | 125 | 69% |
| 1/11 | UC Irvine | 125 | 69% |
| 1/15 | @Cal Poly | 223 | 71% |
| 1/17 | @UC Santa Barbara | 147 | 55% |
| 1/22 | CS Bakersfield | 289 | 92% |
| 1/23 | CS Bakersfield | 289 | 92% |
| 1/25 | CS Northridge | 240 | 88% |
| 1/29 | @UC Irvine | 125 | 48% |
| 1/31 | @Long Beach St | 270 | 77% |
| 2/7 | UC San Diego | 97 | 60% |
| 2/8 | UC San Diego | 97 | 60% |
| 2/12 | @CS Bakersfield | 289 | 79% |
| 2/14 | @CS Northridge | 240 | 73% |
| 2/19 | Cal Poly | 223 | 87% |
| 2/20 | Cal Poly | 223 | 87% |
| 2/21 | UC Santa Barbara | 147 | 75% |
| 2/22 | UC Santa Barbara | 147 | 75% |
| 2/26 | @UC Davis | 166 | 60% |
| 2/28 | @CS Fullerton | 287 | 79% |
| 3/5 | UC Riverside | 267 | 90% |
| 3/6 | UC Riverside | 267 | 90% |
| 3/7 | Long Beach St | 270 | 90% |
| 3/8 | Long Beach St | 270 | 90% |