NCAA Tournament March Madness

#268 Fairfield

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Fairfield's current standing makes sense because its résumé features wins mostly over lower-tier opponents while its most damaging results came in true road tests at Penn State and Seton Hall and in a heavy home loss to Columbia, so the committee will see limited evidence that this team can beat quality competition away from its building. The program's best moments are clear but modest, like road victories at NJIT and Le Moyne and comfortable home wins over Manhattan and Niagara, and those wins help the profile but do not offset the poor defensive showings and the losses at higher-level venues. With league play still unfolding, the remaining schedule contains both opportunities and obstacles, including tough road trips to Iona and Quinnipiac and more favorable matchups against Sacred Heart and Mount St. Mary's that could brighten the resume. Given that mix of unimpressive top wins, damaging bad losses, and a handful of winnable conference games, the most realistic path to the NCAA field runs through the conference tournament and the automatic berth it awards.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Penn St125L76-68
11/8@NJIT336W74-53
11/10@Seton Hall49L82-59
11/14Stonehill341W73-71
11/16Loyola MD322W85-82
11/22@Le Moyne261W97-83
11/26Columbia164L106-77
11/30New Hampshire315W72-68
12/5@Manhattan333L70-66
12/7@Merrimack208L74-63
12/14Monmouth NJ198W73-65
12/18@Central Conn293W84-70
12/29St Peter's238L70-66
1/2@Canisius343L85-81
1/4@Niagara350W83-75
1/9Rider355W68-62
1/14Manhattan333W98-62
1/17@Marist162L82-67
1/19@Siena173L85-77
1/22Niagara350W62-61
1/24Canisius343W61-55
1/30@Iona23131%
2/1Quinnipiac18142%
2/5@Sacred Heart28643%
2/7Marist16239%
2/15@St Peter's23832%
2/20Sacred Heart28665%
2/22@Quinnipiac18123%
2/27Siena17341%
3/1Mt St Mary's29767%