NCAA Tournament March Madness

#94 Florida St

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Projection: likely out

Florida State’s résumé is a study in contrast: a competitive road showing at Florida and routine nonconference victories offer some positives, but they are overwhelmed by a lopsided neutral defeat to Texas A&M and a heavy loss at Georgia that committee members will view as damaging. The absence of true road or neutral wins over established opponents leaves the profile thin on signature victories, so those bad results carry extra weight. Fortunately there are clear opportunities to change the narrative with neutral games against Houston and Massachusetts and a difficult sequence of true road tests at Dayton, North Carolina, Syracuse, Miami and SMU plus high-visibility home dates against Duke and NC State. How the team performs in those moments—especially by stealing a road or neutral win over a respected opponent or defending its home court in the marquee matchups—will determine whether this profile stays as is or moves upward.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4Alcorn St333W108-76
11/7Alabama St258W101-64
11/11@Florida12L78-76
11/18TN Martin227W87-73
11/21Ga Southern225W98-72
11/25CS Bakersfield289W89-59
11/28(N)Texas A&M45L95-59
12/2Georgia23L107-73
12/6(N)Houston810%
12/13(N)Massachusetts18875%
12/16@Dayton6727%
12/19MS Valley St365100%
12/22Jacksonville27091%
12/30@North Carolina2714%
1/3Duke411%
1/10NC State3435%
1/13@Syracuse6226%
1/17Wake Forest5545%
1/20@Miami FL3517%
1/24@SMU4220%
1/28California7150%
1/31Stanford8056%
2/7@Notre Dame6326%
2/10Virginia1928%
2/14@Virginia Tech7230%
2/17Boston College13873%
2/21@Clemson2214%
2/24Miami FL3535%
2/28@Georgia Tech13351%
3/4@Pittsburgh9539%
3/7SMU4239%