NCAA Tournament March Madness

#85 Dayton

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Projection: likely out

Dayton’s profile reads like a team with flash but too many blemishes, because their best results include a rugged road victory at Marquette, a neutral-site win over Georgetown, and a convincing showing against Florida State, yet those highlights are offset by damaging neutral losses to BYU and Virginia and ugly setbacks at Cincinnati, La Salle, Liberty, and Rhode Island that undercut the résumé. The defense has been a real asset while the offense has been uneven, and a schedule heavy with victories over low-end nonconference opponents does little to replace the lack of consistent road and neutral success against quality teams. With tough tests ahead at St. Louis and at VCU and league chances at St. Bonaventure, Davidson, Duquesne and Richmond, Dayton still has paths to repair the profile, but as constructed today the combination of high-variance signature wins and several bad home and road losses explains why they look like an outsized longshot rather than a comfortable tournament lock.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Canisius343W88-48
11/8UMBC254W77-71
11/11@Cincinnati56L74-62
11/15Bethune-Cookman244W91-82
11/19@Marquette110W77-71
11/22NC Central347W74-55
11/27(N)Georgetown93W84-79
11/28(N)BYU15L83-79
12/2ETSU126W88-71
12/6(N)Virginia16L86-73
12/13North Florida340W84-61
12/16Florida St101W97-69
12/20Liberty92L64-61
12/31Fordham200W63-56
1/3@Loyola-Chicago318W70-68
1/6G Washington64W79-72
1/13@Duquesne135W71-65
1/16Loyola-Chicago318W78-51
1/21@La Salle222L67-64
1/24@St Joseph's PA157L81-74
1/27Rhode Island103L81-76
1/30@St Louis2515%
2/3St Bonaventure14678%
2/6@VCU4624%
2/15Davidson13275%
2/18@George Mason7636%
2/21Duquesne13576%
2/24St Louis2531%
2/27@G Washington6431%
3/3@Richmond11651%
3/6VCU4644%