NCAA Tournament March Madness

#19 Louisville

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Projected seed: 6

Louisville’s projection reflects a resume anchored by eye-catching victories and softened by a handful of damaging defeats. The Cardinals beat Kentucky at home and collected a neutral-site win over Indiana, added quality victories against Memphis and Virginia Tech, and showed they can win away with trips to California and Pittsburgh that produced wins. Those highs are balanced by bad road losses at Arkansas and Tennessee, a heavy defeat at Duke, and a disappointing home loss to Virginia that limit upside. Dominant blowouts of submajor opponents pad the stat line but do little to erase the blemishes. Upcoming opportunities against SMU, Notre Dame, NC State and Baylor at home or neutral sites and dangerous road tests at SMU, North Carolina, Clemson and Miami give Louisville clear chances to add signature wins or to compound concerns. Taken together the profile reads like a tournament team with enough quality to be comfortably in the field while its final placement will come down to how it closes the regular season.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3S Carolina St361W104-45
11/6Jackson St339W106-70
11/11Kentucky32W96-88
11/15Ohio235W106-81
11/21(N)Cincinnati56W74-64
11/24E Michigan223W87-46
11/26NJIT336W104-47
12/3@Arkansas22L89-80
12/6(N)Indiana31W87-78
12/13Memphis105W99-73
12/16@Tennessee21L83-62
12/20Montana151W94-54
12/30@California66W90-70
1/2@Stanford81L80-76
1/6Duke3L84-73
1/10Boston College145W75-62
1/13Virginia16L79-70
1/17@Pittsburgh100W100-59
1/24Virginia Tech55W85-71
1/26@Duke3L83-52
1/31SMU3773%
2/4Notre Dame7988%
2/7@Wake Forest7471%
2/9NC State2467%
2/14(N)Baylor5274%
2/17@SMU3752%
2/21Georgia Tech12995%
2/23@North Carolina2848%
2/28@Clemson2948%
3/3Syracuse7787%
3/7@Miami FL3853%