NCAA Tournament March Madness

#365 MS Valley St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Needing to reach the NCAA field via the conference tournament is the clear reading of this resume because there are almost no signature wins to sell to a committee and a long string of lopsided defeats against major opponents that overwhelm the few respectable showings the team has. The brightest moments are narrow outings at neutral sites against Utah Tech and Manhattan and a one-point road loss at Prairie View that show the roster can compete in tight spots, but those are isolated and come amid blowouts at UAB, Texas A&M, Kansas State, Florida State and similar opponents that underline an inability to win away from home or to beat established mid-major and power conference teams. With the remaining schedule made up largely of league mates and a handful of winnable home dates, the only dependable path to the bracket is to win the conference’s automatic berth because the résumé lacks the quality wins, the road and neutral success, and the signature victories a committee prizes for an at-large case.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@UAB123L106-55
11/7@Murray St90L108-60
11/12@Hawaii91L88-56
11/14(N)Utah Tech215L81-75
11/15(N)Manhattan333L80-73
11/22@CS Bakersfield303L86-70
11/25@Texas A&M33L120-84
12/3@ULM360L66-52
12/8@Kansas St86L108-49
12/16Tarleton St182L88-64
12/19@Florida St101L96-49
12/22@West Virginia58L86-51
12/29@Oklahoma61L93-69
1/3Alabama St313L89-69
1/5Alabama A&M294L71-51
1/10@Prairie View332L70-69
1/12@TX Southern311L84-51
1/17Bethune-Cookman244L79-63
1/19Florida A&M314L62-48
1/26@Southern Univ2633%
1/28@Southern Univ2633%
1/31Ark Pine Bluff31217%
2/7Jackson St33924%
2/9Alcorn St34426%
2/14@Alabama A&M2945%
2/16@Alabama St3137%
2/19@Prairie View3328%
2/28@Ark Pine Bluff3126%
3/3@Alcorn St34411%
3/5@Jackson St33910%