NCAA Tournament March Madness

#308 Mt St Mary's

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Mt St Mary's profile is defined by a brutal nonconference stretch that produced lopsided setbacks at Ohio State, Cincinnati and West Virginia while the most resume-friendly outcomes are the road win at St Francis PA and the home victory over Howard. Those heavy losses at high-major venues and a general scarcity of quality road or neutral wins will weigh on how committees view the résumé, and the midseason defeat at Sacred Heart and the trip losses at Marist and other road sites underline the inconsistent road form. The league slate ahead contains the kinds of opportunities that can reshape perception — road tests at Quinnipiac and Iona, league trips to Canisius and Niagara and important home dates against Iona, Rider and Siena — but with few signature nonconference wins the margin for error in conference play is thin, leaving the team dependent on stringing together meaningful road or neutral wins or taking the conference crown to markedly improve its standing.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4@West Virginia70L70-54
11/7Bucknell315L73-62
11/11@St Francis PA354W74-66
11/16@Cincinnati74L72-55
11/19@Maryland90L95-90
11/23@W Michigan263L83-60
11/25@Ohio St36L113-60
11/29Howard311W79-75
12/3Sacred Heart274L87-80
12/5@Marist152L64-56
12/13@Loyola MD31841%
12/19@Drexel27331%
12/29Iona18437%
1/2@Merrimack28734%
1/4@Quinnipiac14914%
1/9St Peter's32867%
1/11Siena15132%
1/17@Canisius35257%
1/19@Niagara34852%
1/22Quinnipiac14930%
1/24Rider33971%
1/30@St Peter's32845%
2/1Manhattan30561%
2/5Merrimack28756%
2/7@Iona18419%
2/13@Rider33949%
2/20Niagara34873%
2/22Canisius35277%
2/27@Sacred Heart27431%
3/1@Fairfield29335%