NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Portland

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#246 Portland

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Portland’s résumé is anchored by comfortable wins over mid-major opponents like UC Davis, Long Beach State, and Cal State Fullerton but those positive moments are dwarfed by crushing road losses at Wyoming and Stanford and surprising setbacks to Northern Colorado and St. Thomas that signal vulnerability away from home. The schedule so far shows a team that can score in friendly settings yet struggles to protect leads and to finish on tougher floors, which is why signature victories are hard to find. A string of upcoming conference tests — including trips to Oregon, UC Santa Barbara and St. Mary’s plus a home date with Gonzaga — represent the kinds of road and neutral chances that would validate the good nonconference results, while additional slip-ups in conference play would reinforce the doubts raised by the early blowouts.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/6	Ark Pine Bluff	357	W83-74
11/9	UC Davis	166	W67-63
11/15	@Wyoming	107	L93-56
11/21	CS Fullerton	287	W103-85
11/22	N Colorado	153	L86-80
11/23	St Thomas MN	182	L76-66
11/26	Long Beach St	270	W93-73
12/1	@Stanford	80	L94-72
12/14	Kent	123	33%
12/17	@Oregon	83	9%
12/22	@UC Santa Barbara	147	21%
12/28	Washington St	165	45%
12/30	Santa Clara	49	13%
1/2	@St Mary's CA	35	3%
1/4	@San Francisco	105	12%
1/8	Pacific	130	35%
1/10	Oregon St	178	48%
1/14	@Pepperdine	286	45%
1/17	@Loy Marymount	143	19%
1/24	St Mary's CA	35	9%
1/28	@Pacific	130	17%
1/31	@Washington St	165	25%
2/4	Gonzaga	3	1%
2/7	Seattle	111	29%
2/11	@San Diego	269	42%
2/18	Pepperdine	286	67%
2/21	@Seattle	111	13%
2/25	@Gonzaga	3	0%
2/28	San Diego	269	64%