NCAA Tournament March Madness

#199 Portland

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Portland’s résumé hinges on a clear split between high-octane wins over lesser opponents and damaging defeats in hostile settings, with eye-opening offensive outbursts against Cal State Fullerton and Long Beach State and a useful road victory at Loyola Marymount offset by lopsided losses at Wyoming, Stanford and Oregon and a particularly rough trip to Pacific. Two losses to St. Mary’s plus setbacks at San Francisco and Santa Clara reinforce that the Blazers struggle against the league’s top end, and they still lack a signature neutral or true road victory that a selection committee values. The remaining schedule hands them tangible chances to erase doubt with a home win over Gonzaga or by taking care of Pepperdine and San Diego, but a return trip to Spokane and a second meeting with Washington State are the exact kinds of away tests that could deepen concern if they don’t produce better results. Until Portland turns one of those marquee opportunities into a durable road or neutral statement, the résumé will read like a team whose best moments came against weak competition while its worst came in the places committees weigh most heavily.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/6Ark Pine Bluff312W83-74
11/9UC Davis167W67-63
11/15@Wyoming111L93-56
11/21CS Fullerton186W103-85
11/22N Colorado187L86-80
11/23St Thomas MN127L76-66
11/26Long Beach St236W93-73
12/1@Stanford81L94-72
12/14Kent139W88-78
12/17@Oregon98L94-69
12/22@UC Santa Barbara137L79-61
12/28Washington St140L67-62
12/30Santa Clara44L92-85
1/2@St Mary's CA36L78-57
1/4@San Francisco102L73-68
1/8Pacific109W90-89
1/10Oregon St214W82-76
1/14@Pepperdine273L67-63
1/17@Loy Marymount161W71-58
1/24St Mary's CA36L75-69
1/28@Pacific109L74-51
1/31@Washington St14027%
2/4Gonzaga104%
2/7Seattle13145%
2/11@San Diego19638%
2/18Pepperdine27375%
2/21@Seattle13124%
2/25@Gonzaga101%
2/28San Diego19661%