NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Oregon

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#83 Oregon

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projected seed: 12 (automatic qualifier)

Oregon’s profile is built on a handful of modest nonconference wins over Hawaii, Rice and South Dakota State plus an in‑state victory over Oregon State, but the resume is hurt by lopsided neutral-site losses to Auburn, San Diego State and Creighton and a damaging home defeat to USC. The committee will note the lack of signature road or neutral victories and will be skeptical of a team that has not yet shown it can win away from its own building. The conference slate still hands Oregon meaningful opportunities to change the conversation, with a neutral meeting against Gonzaga and a stretch of difficult road tests at Maryland, Rutgers and Nebraska paired with important home dates against UCLA and Ohio State. Until Oregon converts one of those marquee chances, the profile reads like a capable team that has not proved it can beat elite opponents in hostile settings, so its standing reflects both the damage of poor results and the uncertain upside remaining in the league schedule.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/4	Hawaii	101	W60-59
11/7	Rice	217	W67-63
11/12	S Dakota St	163	W83-69
11/17	Oregon St	178	W87-75
11/24	(N)Auburn	20	L84-73
11/25	(N)San Diego St	47	L97-80
11/27	(N)Creighton	53	L76-66
12/2	USC	28	L82-77
12/6	@UCLA	33	19%
12/13	UC Davis	166	83%
12/17	Portland	246	91%
12/21	(N)Gonzaga	3	8%
12/28	NE Omaha	263	92%
1/2	@Maryland	90	41%
1/5	@Rutgers	126	53%
1/8	Ohio St	36	39%
1/13	@Nebraska	48	25%
1/17	Michigan	1	9%
1/18	Michigan	1	9%
1/20	Michigan St	11	20%
1/25	@Washington	60	29%
1/28	UCLA	33	38%
2/1	Iowa	32	36%
2/7	@Purdue	2	4%
2/9	@Indiana	24	16%
2/14	Penn St	96	65%
2/17	Minnesota	109	68%
2/21	@USC	28	17%
2/25	Wisconsin	27	35%
2/28	@Northwestern	56	28%
3/3	@Illinois	17	11%
3/7	Washington	60	51%