NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Texas

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#55 Texas

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: likely out

Texas’s profile carries a clear headline win on a neutral floor against NC State but is offset by damaging nonconference outcomes, most notably the trip to Duke and the heavy defeat to Virginia, which expose defensive holes and inconsistency. Many of the victories came against low-end opposition and do little to balance those blemishes, and a tight loss at Arizona State shows the team can compete with quality opponents without getting the decisive result. The resume hinges on road and neutral performance because signature victories away from home are sparse, and the remaining slate hands Texas high-leverage chances to alter the narrative with wins at Connecticut, Tennessee, Alabama, Kentucky, Arkansas, or Auburn and with major home dates against Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, LSU, Florida, and Oklahoma. Collecting a true signature road or neutral triumph or avoiding further damaging home losses would change the outlook, while failing to do so will leave the same questions about schedule strength and defensive reliability.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/4	(N)Duke	4	L75-60
11/8	Lafayette	332	W97-60
11/12	F Dickinson	359	W93-58
11/15	Missouri KC	343	W71-55
11/18	Rider	340	W99-65
11/24	(N)Arizona St	82	L87-86
11/26	(N)NC State	34	W102-97
12/3	Virginia	23	L88-69
12/8	Southern Univ	203	92%
12/12	@Connecticut	7	12%
12/16	Le Moyne	320	98%
12/22	MD E Shore	337	99%
1/3	Mississippi St	78	69%
1/6	@Tennessee	16	17%
1/10	@Alabama	13	15%
1/13	Vanderbilt	6	27%
1/14	Vanderbilt	6	27%
1/17	Texas A&M	45	56%
1/21	@Kentucky	19	23%
1/24	Georgia	22	45%
1/28	@Auburn	20	23%
1/31	@Oklahoma	46	34%
2/3	South Carolina	92	74%
2/7	Mississippi	52	60%
2/14	@Missouri	37	30%
2/17	LSU	25	46%
2/21	@Georgia	22	24%
2/25	Florida	12	32%
2/28	@Texas A&M	45	34%
3/3	@Arkansas	30	27%
3/4	@Arkansas	30	27%
3/7	Oklahoma	46	56%