NCAA Tournament March Madness
#156 Toledo
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Projection: need to automatically qualify
Toledo's season is a mix of resume-building moments and damaging lapses that explains its current position. Road wins at Wright State and Central Michigan and a neutral victory over Troy show the offense can carry the team in hostile settings. Still, a blowout at Michigan State, high-scoring losses at Oakland and Akron, a neutral defeat to Belmont and tight defeats at Robert Morris and Kent State expose defensive fragility that keeps the good wins from locking the resume. Remaining home dates with Ball State, Kent State, Northern Illinois and Buffalo and road tests at James Madison, Western Michigan, Bowling Green, Ohio and Miami give Toledo clear opportunities to shore up its case if it tightens on that end and avoids more damaging setbacks.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | South Alabama | 206 | L76-74 |
| 11/8 | Marshall | 177 | L85-73 |
| 11/11 | @Wright St | 142 | W81-71 |
| 11/15 | Detroit | 284 | W90-83 |
| 11/19 | Youngstown St | 220 | W92-75 |
| 11/24 | (N)Troy | 113 | W75-68 |
| 11/26 | (N)Belmont | 67 | L87-72 |
| 12/6 | @Oakland | 121 | L98-97 |
| 12/13 | @Robert Morris | 193 | L75-70 |
| 12/16 | @Michigan St | 7 | L92-69 |
| 12/30 | W Michigan | 266 | W84-79 |
| 1/3 | @C Michigan | 302 | W78-75 |
| 1/6 | @N Illinois | 301 | W75-61 |
| 1/9 | Miami OH | 88 | L87-73 |
| 1/13 | Ohio | 235 | W101-85 |
| 1/16 | @Kent | 139 | L87-84 |
| 1/20 | @Massachusetts | 179 | L84-82 |
| 1/24 | Bowling Green | 128 | W73-72 |
| 1/27 | @Akron | 53 | L91-81 |
| 1/31 | Ball St | 310 | 87% |
| 2/3 | Kent | 139 | 57% |
| 2/7 | @James Madison | 229 | 54% |
| 2/11 | @W Michigan | 266 | 62% |
| 2/14 | @Bowling Green | 128 | 32% |
| 2/21 | E Michigan | 223 | 74% |
| 2/24 | N Illinois | 301 | 86% |
| 2/28 | @Ohio | 235 | 55% |
| 3/3 | @Miami OH | 88 | 22% |
| 3/6 | Buffalo | 169 | 64% |