NCAA Tournament March Madness

#208 Buffalo

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Buffalo’s résumé is built on a few solid wins and a lot of unresolved questions. The highlights include a road triumph at DePaul and neutral-site victories over VMI and Bucknell along with nonconference home wins over Southern Miss and Vermont, which show the team can close games away from its building and handle midmajor opposition on neutral floors. What drags the profile down is a shortage of marquee victories and fragile results in true road settings against the league’s heavier hitters, making trips to Akron and Toledo and losses in similar environments particularly damaging to perception. The remaining slate offers meaningful chances to flip the script, most notably a neutral matchup with St. Bonaventure and a string of conference road tests at UMBC, East Carolina, Western Michigan and Northern Illinois plus tough visits to Akron and Toledo; strong outcomes in those spots would convert pending questions into the kind of signature wins a committee values while more slipups would leave the résumé light on quality evidence.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Southern Miss204W85-79
11/7WI Green Bay274W83-76
11/11@DePaul118W66-53
11/18Vermont209W94-90
11/24(N)VMI339W78-70
11/26(N)Bucknell315W73-71
11/29@Canisius352W71-53
12/6St Bonaventure11536%
12/9@UMBC25949%
12/14@East Carolina24446%
12/20@W Michigan26349%
12/30@N Illinois32162%
1/3Ball St32481%
1/10@Ohio21240%
1/13Kent12341%
1/17@Miami OH13523%
1/20Akron6020%
1/24Massachusetts18758%
1/27@Bowling Green11218%
1/31Ohio21262%
2/3Miami OH13543%
2/11@Ball St32463%
2/17N Illinois32180%
2/21@Massachusetts18736%
2/24@Akron608%
2/28C Michigan30078%
3/3E Michigan18557%
3/6@Toledo16131%