NCAA Tournament March Madness

#169 Buffalo

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Buffalo's profile shows why the safest path to the NCAA field runs through the MAC tournament: the staff can point to statement road victories at DePaul and useful wins away at Western Michigan and Northern Illinois alongside neutral-site scoring outbursts, yet those positives are undermined by damaging conference defeats, most glaringly the home loss to Akron and the road blowout at Miami Ohio and additional setbacks that leave the team thin on signature home or neutral wins. A competitive outing against St Bonaventure hinted at upside but arriving as a loss it did little to offset the hurt from lopsided losses, so despite proven road resilience the resume lacks the kinds of marquee results a committee rewards. The remaining schedule contains several clear chances to patch the resume at home and against lighter league foes but also a few hostile trips that could swing perception the other way, which is why their most reliable route into the bracket is to win the conference tournament and erase the blemishes that currently define them.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Southern Miss250W85-79
11/7WI Green Bay226W83-76
11/11@DePaul107W66-53
11/18Vermont209W94-90
11/24(N)VMI354W78-70
11/26(N)Bucknell327W73-71
11/29@Canisius343W71-53
12/6St Bonaventure146L77-69
12/9@UMBC254W83-79
12/14@East Carolina275L73-70
12/20@W Michigan266W88-71
12/31@N Illinois301W81-67
1/3Ball St310W85-72
1/10@Ohio235L91-80
1/13Kent139L87-81
1/17@Miami OH88L105-102
1/20Akron53L82-63
1/23Massachusetts179L68-67
1/27@Bowling Green128W89-78
1/31Ohio23573%
2/3Miami OH8839%
2/7@South Alabama20646%
2/11@Ball St31069%
2/17N Illinois30184%
2/21@Massachusetts17941%
2/24@Akron5312%
2/28C Michigan30285%
3/3E Michigan22371%
3/6@Toledo15636%