NCAA Tournament March Madness
#34 NC State
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Projected seed: 10 (automatic qualifier)
NC State’s résumé is driven by a mix of eye-catching nonconference moments and damaging slips, with a neutral-site victory over Boise State and solid wins over VCU and UAB showing the roster can score and close out quality opponents while neutral losses to Seton Hall and Texas and a road setback at Auburn expose inconsistency in tough environments. The remaining slate gives the Wolfpack meaningful chances to change the conversation, including high-profile home dates against Duke and North Carolina and both neutral and home opportunities against Mississippi, while a string of true road tests at league rivals such as Clemson, Virginia and Louisville will tell the committee how well this team travels. Road and neutral success will be the currency that offsets the marquee early losses, and keeping expected home results secure will preserve any margin for error. Overall the best moments demonstrate real offensive upside, the worst moments highlight vulnerability away from home, and the upcoming stretch contains clear opportunities to firm up an at-large profile or force reliance on the conference tournament.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | NC Central | 346 | W114-66 |
| 11/7 | UAB | 108 | W94-70 |
| 11/12 | UNC Greensboro | 292 | W110-64 |
| 11/17 | VCU | 40 | W85-79 |
| 11/24 | (N)Seton Hall | 67 | L85-74 |
| 11/25 | (N)Boise St | 62 | W81-70 |
| 11/26 | (N)Texas | 55 | L102-97 |
| 12/3 | @Auburn | 20 | L83-73 |
| 12/6 | UNC Asheville | 226 | 97% |
| 12/10 | Liberty | 103 | 85% |
| 12/13 | Kansas | 18 | 53% |
| 12/17 | TX Southern | 314 | 99% |
| 12/20 | (N)Mississippi | 52 | 60% |
| 12/21 | Mississippi | 52 | 70% |
| 12/31 | Wake Forest | 54 | 71% |
| 1/3 | Virginia | 23 | 56% |
| 1/6 | @Boston College | 138 | 77% |
| 1/10 | @Florida St | 94 | 65% |
| 1/17 | Georgia Tech | 133 | 90% |
| 1/20 | @Clemson | 21 | 34% |
| 1/24 | @Pittsburgh | 95 | 66% |
| 1/27 | Syracuse | 63 | 73% |
| 1/31 | @Wake Forest | 54 | 50% |
| 2/3 | @SMU | 42 | 44% |
| 2/7 | Virginia Tech | 72 | 76% |
| 2/9 | @Louisville | 14 | 24% |
| 2/14 | Miami FL | 38 | 62% |
| 2/17 | North Carolina | 27 | 57% |
| 2/24 | @Virginia | 23 | 34% |
| 2/28 | @Notre Dame | 64 | 52% |
| 3/2 | Duke | 4 | 29% |
| 3/7 | Stanford | 80 | 79% |