NCAA Tournament March Madness

#79 Notre Dame

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Projection: likely out

Notre Dame being projected outside the field makes sense because the resume is built on a handful of eye-catching away wins and a long list of damaging setbacks. Road victories at Stanford and TCU and a neutral-site win over Rutgers prove they can win in hostile settings, but those bright spots are counterbalanced by neutral losses to Kansas and Houston, a head-scratching home defeat to PFW, the home loss to Virginia, and rough trips to North Carolina and Virginia Tech that exposed inconsistency. A narrow setback at Ohio State underscored missed closing chances and the team has not consistently followed up big moments with follow-through, which matters as difficult road tests at Syracuse and Louisville and a marquee matchup with Duke loom. There are still clear avenues to improve against Florida State at home, a return meeting with Stanford, a trip to Boston College and other midweek opportunities that could flip the narrative, but until those are seized the résumé lacks the sustained quality wins a committee rewards.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3LIU Brooklyn219W89-67
11/7Detroit284W102-70
11/11E Illinois309W78-58
11/16@Ohio St40L64-63
11/19Bellarmine290W86-79
11/24(N)Kansas14L71-61
11/25(N)Rutgers155W68-63
11/26(N)Houston6L66-56
12/2Missouri59W76-71
12/5@TCU51W87-85
12/10Idaho190W80-65
12/13Evansville283W82-58
12/21PFW230L72-69
12/30@Stanford81W47-40
1/2@California66L72-71
1/10Clemson29L76-61
1/13Miami FL38L81-69
1/17@Virginia Tech55L89-76
1/21@North Carolina28L91-69
1/24Boston College145W68-64
1/27Virginia16L100-97
1/31@Syracuse7737%
2/4@Louisville1912%
2/7Florida St10168%
2/10@SMU3719%
2/14Georgia Tech12976%
2/21@Pittsburgh10046%
2/24Duke310%
2/28NC State2432%
3/4Stanford8161%
3/7@Boston College14561%