NCAA Tournament March Madness

#320 Stetson

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Stetson’s profile makes clear why it will need to secure the Atlantic Sun automatic to reach the NCAA Tournament: its résumé rests on a handful of home victories over Howard, VMI, Lipscomb and West Georgia that demonstrate it can win in its building but amount to modest signature wins, while an isolated road victory at North Alabama is useful yet does not erase a string of heavy road defeats at Rhode Island, Miami, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Grand Canyon and Robert Morris that expose its struggles away from home and against higher-tier programs. A tight neutral-site loss to Southern Utah and a competitive showing against Lipscomb show flashes of competitiveness, but the cumulative damage of lopsided nonconference setbacks and losses to Wright State and at Central Arkansas leaves the résumé short on quality. With significant road tests remaining at Bellarmine, Eastern Kentucky and FGCU and winnable home chances against Jacksonville, North Florida and Central Arkansas the schedule still offers paths to improve, however only winning the conference’s automatic berth will reliably overcome the current mix of modest wins and damaging losses.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Rhode Island103L93-62
11/10@Miami FL38L102-61
11/16@W Carolina260L76-65
11/19Howard272W64-60
11/22VMI354W99-80
11/25Wright St142L79-62
11/29(N)Southern Utah278L70-68
11/30@Robert Morris193L80-62
12/2@Grand Canyon75L67-45
12/6@South Carolina87L82-51
12/22@Oklahoma61L107-54
1/1@North Alabama334W70-67
1/3@Cent Arkansas184L93-73
1/8Lipscomb150W91-83
1/10Austin Peay163L81-69
1/15West Georgia329W95-86
1/17Queens NC188L87-81
1/22@Lipscomb150L79-74
1/23@Austin Peay163L73-65
1/29@North Florida34046%
1/31North Alabama33465%
2/5@Bellarmine29031%
2/7@E Kentucky26226%
2/12Jacksonville28953%
2/14@FGCU22820%
2/19Cent Arkansas18431%
2/21North Florida34068%
2/26@Jacksonville28931%
2/28FGCU22839%