NCAA Tournament March Madness

#323 Wagner

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Wagner’s only realistic path to the NCAA tournament runs through the conference title because the nonconference body of work offers too little for an at-large case: damaging road thumpings at VCU and Maryland and a heavy loss at Georgetown undermine the resume, while a near miss at Seton Hall and narrow setbacks at Fordham and UMBC show competitiveness but not the kind of signature wins a committee prizes. The team’s best moments are gritty road victories at Manhattan and Chicago State, yet both came against inferior opponents and do not erase a string of puzzling conference losses to Stonehill, St. Francis PA and Mercyhurst that sap resume credibility. Remaining league dates against LIU Brooklyn, Central Connecticut, Stonehill and New Haven give Wagner clear opportunities to build momentum and prove it can string together wins away from familiar floors, but until that streak materializes the safest route to March is an automatic qualification via the conference tournament.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@VCU46L103-74
11/7@Seton Hall49L68-61
11/11@Fordham200L63-61
11/16@UMBC254L71-70
11/22@Georgetown93L92-75
11/26@Manhattan333W103-101
12/2@Maryland122L89-63
12/17MD E Shore326W78-64
1/2@Chicago St358W79-72
1/4Stonehill341L69-60
1/8St Francis PA353L71-69
1/10Mercyhurst300L70-69
1/17@New Haven338L80-74
1/19@F Dickinson342L68-61
1/23@Le Moyne261L69-67
1/26@LIU Brooklyn21918%
1/29Central Conn29352%
1/31F Dickinson34267%
2/5Le Moyne26146%
2/7@Central Conn29331%
2/12LIU Brooklyn21936%
2/14@Stonehill34145%
2/19@Mercyhurst30032%
2/21@St Francis PA35354%
2/26New Haven33867%
2/28Chicago St35878%