NCAA Tournament March Madness

#315 Wagner

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Projected seed: 16 (automatic qualifier, play-in game) (automatic qualifier)

Wagner’s profile is defined by a lone eye-catching road victory at Manhattan that proved the roster can score in a high-tempo environment but that signature moment is swallowed by ugly road defeats at VCU and Maryland and a string of competitive losses away at Seton Hall, Fordham, UMBC and Georgetown that leave the nonconference ledger lacking quality. The bad road results matter more than the high-scoring home contests because the committee rewards teams that win away from their building and Wagner hasn’t shown consistent success in hostile settings. Most of the remaining chances to reshape the résumé come against conference foes such as Stonehill, St Francis PA, Mercyhurst, New Haven, F Dickinson, Le Moyne, LIU Brooklyn, Central Connecticut and Chicago State with a mix of home and true road tests, and the road dates at LIU Brooklyn and Central Connecticut plus a trip to Stonehill are the only realistic opportunities for resume-changing wins. Unless Wagner strings together multiple road victories against those league opponents the overall body of work will read as a team that beat lesser competition at home but struggled to get meaningful results when the schedule stepped up.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@VCU40L103-74
11/7@Seton Hall66L68-61
11/11@Fordham221L63-61
11/16@UMBC279L71-70
11/22@Georgetown88L92-75
11/26@Manhattan304W103-101
12/2@Maryland90L89-63
12/17MD E Shore33869%
1/2@Chicago St35657%
1/4Stonehill34571%
1/8St Francis PA35476%
1/10Mercyhurst32765%
1/17@New Haven35153%
1/19@F Dickinson36060%
1/23@Le Moyne32040%
1/25@LIU Brooklyn23324%
1/29Central Conn23545%
1/31F Dickinson36079%
2/5Le Moyne32062%
2/7@Central Conn23524%
2/12LIU Brooklyn23344%
2/14@Stonehill34549%
2/19@Mercyhurst32743%
2/21@St Francis PA35456%
2/26New Haven35173%
2/28Chicago St35677%